Monday, September 01, 2008

We'd be lucky for a cold war

EU leaders are meeting in Russia today to talk about the situation in Georgia and so David Cameron has been on the today programme putting his tu'pence worth in. The simple answer, he seems to think, is that Georgia and the Ukraine join NATO and the EU and then everything will be rosy.


He clearly hasn't quite worked out that the expansionary policy of the EU has been like poking an angry tiger with a sharp stick. Russia has seen the countries which surround it be consumed by the obese EU, which likes to swallow up small, newly formed democracies like canapes at a drinks party. Croatia, Serbia, the Ukraine and now Georgia are all on the guest list for this club even though they are not really part of Europe. We are having arguments about the fact that only 10% of Turkey is in Europe but Georgia is even further to the East.

I listen to what our great leaders are saying and it seems that either they have no understanding of Geopolitics, natural human emotion or they want a war.

However amid the rising tension, Russia has announced it has successfully tested its long-range Topol ballistic missile from a launch site in Kamchatka in the far east of the country.

Russia says the rocket is capable of penetrating the proposed US missile defence shield - another source of uneasiness between the two sides.

It's becoming a cold war already and I can see this escalating into a hot war if we're not careful. What have Russia got to lose by sitting around and watching the West change the shape of their part of the world? The EU is toothless militarily, of course, and are only trying to do something because they want a Common Foreign and Security Policy so they can turn around and say 'look, we need the Lisbon Constitution because otherwise we can't be so strong on the world stage' (knock yourself out, scream that from the roof tops because if anything is likely to get a second 'NO' vote in Ireland it's hearing that). But this dreadful pontificating by Cameron and Miliband along the Daily Mail lines of 'something must be done' without really understanding what can be done and why things have happened as they have done is actually rather dangerous.

Banning a country from dialogue, such as the G8, might make it look like a tough line has been taken, it might make the Boy David feel like a man when he writes it, but it's stupid. For a start, the G8 is non binding anyway and for another, if you want to sort something out, making one side feel excluded is not going to encourage them t step into line, it's going to encourage them to play up and get attention. And I'd rather a country with a button to press were fully participating in the world stage rather than being made to feel insignificant and badly behaved by organisations like the EU and countries like America who, given the choice, would behave badly all the time.

On a final note, why do people say they like these small, independent democracies and then say they should join the EU which does everything they can to stop democracy and doesn't even listen to the voice of the people stuck living in it? Cameron, it seems, has conveniently forgotten that the Irish result was ignored even though he and his party were supposed to be the champion of the people in Britain who voted for that referendum. He's slipped back into his natural position of being europhile and thinking that the EU has the answers.

I'd sooner trust the WI to run things than the EU.

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